Iga Swiatek vs Emiliana Arango Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Arango's second serve performance recently shows a win rate of 37.48%, slightly behind Swiatek's 39.28%.
• Could second serve success determine the winner? Swiatek has a small edge here with a marginally higher win rate.
• In returning their opponent's second serve, Arango is currently outperforming Swiatek, claiming 53.75% of points compared to Swiatek’s 47.65%.
• Arango also has a superior return on first serves, with a 38.78% win rate versus Swiatek’s 27.39%.
• Under pressure, Arango saves 47.25% of breakpoints, which is slightly more than Swiatek’s 43.96% record.
• Overall match wins in the last year strongly favor Swiatek, who has won 80.56% of her matches, while Arango has won 50.88%.
• Both players excel on clay courts, but Swiatek leads with an 87% win rate on this surface, significantly higher than Arango’s 59%.
• Swiatek's experience at higher-level tournaments (Masters series) offers a competitive edge, boasting a 76.47% win rate.
• Is opponent quality a factor? Swiatek faces stronger competitors, averaging an opponent rank of 47.99, whereas Arango’s is 188.67.
• In deciding sets, Swiatek also shows strength, winning 73% compared to Arango’s 55% success rate.
• Arango has a better breakpoint conversion in recent form at 38.2%, ahead of Swiatek’s 35.19% conversion rate.

Editorial Prediction (August 26, 2025, UTC):

As we anticipate the upcoming tennis match, it is clear that both players possess unique strengths. Arango shows prowess in return games, outperforming Swiatek in both first and second serve returns and excelling at breakpoint conversion.

However, Swiatek's overall performance in higher-level tournaments and her stronger record against top-ranked opponents indicate robust capabilities. Her superior match win rate over the last year highlights her consistency and ability to handle pressure situations, as demonstrated by her higher success rate in deciding sets.

Considering these factors, Swiatek appears to have a distinct advantage. Her experience and sustained success across tougher competition make her the likely winner for this match, despite Arango’s notable strengths in specific areas.